TDLR snapshot
2,956 active Electrical Contractor license-location rows carried business addresses in the 11-county DFW frame. The file cannot establish unique brands or market share.
Research draft
Noindex pending exact-claim approval.
Baseline briefing · Q3 2026
The baseline is set. The next issue can show what changed.
This first briefing establishes dated reference points across the DFW electrical contractor cluster. It is not a Q3-over-Q2 change report: most measures do not yet have two matched snapshots.
EVIDENCE REVIEWED THROUGH AUG 12, 2026BASELINE ISSUE3 FLAGSHIP REPORTSNO QUARTERLY TREND CLAIM
The baseline in one sentence
The evidence is broad enough to frame decisions, but not yet repeated enough to call most movement.
Four signals worth carrying forward.
Only matched official annual files support change language. The digital audit and demand proxy are newly observed baselines.
01Measured
The local digital benchmark now has a defensible denominator.
Workahead’s July audit covers 105 unique website hosts from 10 directory city lists. Forty-two entered the weakest gap class, 36 the middle class, and 27 the polished class.
Evidence →02UpdatedMay 2025 establishes the current official electrician baseline.
BLS estimates 20,930 DFW electrician employees with a $28.37 median hourly wage. That does not establish loaded crew cost, license-specific pay, or a shortage.
Evidence →03ChangedThe 2025 housing-permit mix moved away from single-unit work.
Total authorized units fell 7.8% and single-unit authorizations fell 14.3%, while five-plus-unit structures rose 26.0% from 2024.
Evidence →04VerifyEmergency-search interest is a prompt to inspect response operations.
Texas Trends evidence cannot size DFW demand. The next useful record is after-hours lead volume, response time, booking, and collected revenue.
Evidence →Five additional signals now in the evidence pack.
They sharpen the next question. None supplies shop-level demand, conversion, margin, or capacity.
NOAA 2023–partial 2026
The four-core-county extract contains 1,105 event records. Among 2023–2025 hail and thunderstorm-wind records, 524 of 836 began in April–June. Neither count measures service calls.
ERCOT May 2026
The summer outlook forecast 92,211 MW peak demand for the ERCOT region. This is capacity-planning context, not evidence of residential upgrade demand.
TDLR / municipalities
Texas’s 2023 NEC minimum took effect September 1, 2023. Current local amendments, ordinances, and AHJ guidance still determine the project-level answer.
Google / Frontdoor
GBP organic ranking, LSA pay-per-valid-lead auctions, and managed job dispatch have different economics. No public source supplies DFW booked-job ROI.
The missing records are inside the operating system.
Source to collected job
Lead source, mobile action, answered or missed call, response time, estimate, booked job, win, and cash.
Role to loaded capacity
License and role, accepted pay, burden, overtime, vacancy days, utilization, callbacks, and retention.
Permit to profitable award
Jurisdiction, project type, start status, bid fit, award, crew demand, gross margin, and collection cycle.
Full market map